The Hormuz crisis and the future architecture of maritime risk
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Synopsis
Strait of Hormuz transits are down 92%, war-risk premiums have been repriced, GNSS spoofing is distorting vessel records at scale, and sanctions exposure now begins before a single payment is made. For maritime risk and compliance teams, the question is now whether their movements can be trusted, verified and defended.
In this session, Kpler analysts draw on proprietary data from nearly 900 observed crossings to show how the risk architecture around Hormuz has fundamentally shifted and what that means for your exposure right now.
What you'll learn
- How large-scale GNSS spoofing and AIS disruption are creating non-deliberate gaps in voyage records
- Who is crossing, how, and under what risk profile
- The scenarios and signals that matter right now
Meet the speakers
Ana Subasic
Ana Subasic is a trade risk analyst at Kpler, where she combines energy market fundamentals, geopolitical analysis, and legal investigation to assess emerging trade risks, structures and sanctions circumvention. After joining Kpler in 2022 as an LNG market analyst, she transitioned into Risk and Compliance in 2025 to strengthen the team’s forward-looking analytical capabilities on a the cross-commodity scale. Her work focuses on shadow and dark trade investigations, including breaking intelligence and insights into high-risk commodity flows. Ana serves as a key voice within Risk and Compliance, translating regulatory developments, sanctions dynamics, and geopolitical shifts into structured assessments and actionable intelligence for clients.
Dimitris Ampatzidis
Dimitris is a Senior Risk and Compliance Analyst with deep shipping industry expertise in risk assessment, governance, and data analytics. He has led the launch of industry-standard risk products and developed comprehensive sanctions and compliance protocols. At Lloyd’s Register, he was the go-to expert for Port State Control (PSC) analytics, delivering training to shipping professionals and developing emissions reporting and sanctions frameworks. Previously, he helped build the RISK4SEA platform at SAFETY4SEA. He holds Master’s degrees in IT Project Management and Information Systems, and a Bachelor’s in Statistics and Insurance Science.
