Dangote: Every Barrel Sourced, Every Opportunity Seized

Nigeria’s Dangote refinery has sustained near-nameplate operations in 2026, with crude imports hitting approximately 630 kbd in April and 609 kbd month-to-date in May, product exports reaching record monthly volumes, and a diversified feedstock strategy replacing US Midland barrels with opportunistic regional and transatlantic grades.

Midland Exits, Domestic Supply Doubles

On Dangote’s crude supply side, WTI Midland, which averaged over 200 kbd through February and March, dropped out of Dangote’s feedstock slate entirely by April. Midland had previously served as the refinery’s primary alternative to domestic supply, 83% of non-domestic barrels in 2025. However, the Atlantic Basin arbitrage shifted materially following disruptions linked to the Strait of Hormuz blockade, with elevated freight, insurance, and voyage costs eroding the economics of U.S. barrels into Lekki.

Dangote Crude Imports split by Origin Country

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In April, Dangote approximately doubled its monthly cargo receipt cadence, with domestic Nigerian grades up +262 kbd to 605 kbd. This trend has sustained into May with 552 kbd of domestic crude intake month-to-date.

Cameroon, Guyana, Libya Enter the Crude Basket

Alongside the domestic ramp, Dangote has pursued an active diversification of its feedstock book, chasing other available barrels to sustain run rates:

  • Cameroon (Ebome):  In April, Navig8 Passion loaded approximately 750,000 bbls of Ebome crude from Cameroon. Ebome is a light sweet grade with similar quality to Nigerian barrels and a sub-week voyage from origin, acting as a competitive regional substitute.
  • Guyana (Payara Gold): May sourcing extended further afield, with the Suezmax Advantage Serenity loading ~1 Mbbl of Payara Gold from Guyana, arriving 14 May.
  • Libya (Sharara): Libya has also emerged as a feedstock target as the refinery seeks to maximise utilisation. Kriti Energy loaded ~1 Mbbl of Sharara from Zawia on 6 May and arrived on 23 May. Kriti Hero loaded another 1 Mbbl Sharara cargo on 17 May, with arrival expected early June.
Dangote Refined Product Exports Hit Record Highs Amid Operational Shifts

Operationally, Dangote has been running at an average of 600 kbd in April and May following the successful optimisation of key secondary units earlier this year. The refinery is currently operating in simultaneous max-gasoline and max-jet modes, lifting gasoline yields and boosting jet output. This has positioned Dangote as an increasingly important marginal supplier of gasoline and jet fuel into Atlantic Basin markets, while effectively turning Nigeria into a net gasoline exporter.

Overall, Dangote refined product exports hit an all-time high of 341 kbd in April, accounting for just above half of the refinery's total outputs during the month. In May to date, export volumes have fallen to average just below 250 kbd.

Dangote Refinery monthly exports by product (May-to-date)

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