Unlock maritime intelligence and connect with us at SMM, 3-6 Sep
Book a meeting

Poland's energy paradox: how Europe's coal giant is racing towards a clean energy future

Discover how Poland is navigating the contradiction between protecting coal until 2049 and building a renewable-powered grid by 2035 - and what it means for European energy markets.

The great Polish energy transition: solving the coal paradox

To mine or not to mine? Poland’s power sector is navigating a structural policy–market coal contradiction. Kpler Insight's recent whitepaper dives into the evolving Polish power mix, which is planning to replace unprofitable coal capacity with a combination of CCGTs, renewables and BESS capacity by 2030. Over the longer term, risk diversification hinges on a nuclear program, with up to 9 GW of capacity planned by 2040.

Section 1

The historical and political roots of a Polish coal lock-in

Section 2

Coal profitability: an increasingly open wound

Section 3

Capacity market derogation: extending coal plants survival

Section 4

Supply: solar boom, wind deregulation, more regional interconnectivity, and natural gas as transition fuel

Section 5

Diversifying risk with a nuclear plan

Section 6

BESS: the hidden giant in the power mix equation?

Inside this white paper you will discover:

  • The coal economics crisis: Why despite wholesale power prices frequently exceeding 100 €/MWh, Polish coal-fired generation is structurally uncompetitive.
  • The hidden BESS giant: How Poland secured 9 GW of battery storage through aggressive capacity auctions, potentially reshaping Central European flexibility markets.
  • Gas as the transition backbone: Deep dive into 7 GW of new gas capacity, expanded LNG infrastructure, and Poland's emerging role as a regional balancing hub.
  • Renewable revolution: Analysis of Poland's 21 GW solar boom, wind deregulation impact, and 5 GW offshore pipeline that's accelerating the coal phase-out.
  • Regional power anchor: Poland's strategic role linking the Baltic States to Continental Europe and supplying 20% of Ukraine's electricity imports amid infrastructure attacks.
  • Long-term diversification: The nuclear roadmap targeting 9 GW by 2040 and demand projections showing 60% growth to 240 TWh by 2035.

Fill out the form below to download the resource.