How much vessel supply could return to the market if Suez Canal transits normalise?
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Synopsis
A potential return to a normalised Suez Canal transits would reduce sailing days for voyages, adding supply into the market and putting downward pressure on dry bulk carrier earnings. The effect across major dry bulk carriers will differ.
What you'll learn
- How much additional vessel supply could return because of shorter voyages?
- Which vessel segments would see the highest increase in supply?
- What is the outlook for the major underlying trades transiting the Suez Canal?
Meet the speakers
Hanif Kamar
Hanif specialises in predictive analyses of dry bulk freight markets and is based in Kuala Lumpur.He works on building a clearer understanding of the link between dry bulk trade and shipping by developing supply–demand balances, forecasting freight rates, and running scenario analyses.Before joining Kpler, he held a similar role at S&P Global Commodity Insights and previously worked as a reliability engineer at Vale’s iron ore port in Malaysia.
Alexis Ellender
Alexis joined Kpler’s Insight Team in March 2023 as Lead Major Dry Bulks Analyst. Based in London, he brings over a decade of experience in dry bulk commodities and freight research. He leads the development of Kpler’s dry bulks research offering, covering coal, fertiliser, grain, iron ore, minor bulks, and dry freight. His work spans market analysis, supply-demand and pricing outlooks, client presentations, industry speaking engagements, and supporting the growth of Kpler’s dry bulks data products. Previously, he was a Director at Simpson Spence Young (SSY) in the Consultancy & Research team.
